We’ve run the numbers on who is the funniest. We’ve run the numbers on who is most recognized. What’s left? Apparently the likelihood of making it to 2017.
According to the Supreme Court Justice Death Calculator, there is a 64.07% chance that at least one Justice will die within the next four years. (Calculations are based upon public data from the Centers for Disease Control.)
Before Death Pool participants get too excited, I should mention that the Calculator comes with a bit of a caveat. Calculations are rough, with the assumption that each of the Justices has the same life expectancy of someone of similar age, race, and gender. Interestingly enough, this is the third list where Scalia comes in at the top 3. Although I think we can all hold hands and agree that topping this list is nowhere near as desirable as topping humor or recognition lists.
Below is the list in order of likelihood of death by 2017:
Kennedy 19.32%
Ginsburg 17.86%
Scalia 17.67%
Breyer 15.29%
Thomas 10.53%
Alito 5.83%
Roberts 3.62%
Sotomeyer 1.71%
Kagan 1.57%
Tags: Death Calculator, Supreme Court